Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001420 0.001512 0.001607 0.001712 0.001825 0.001943 0.002077
2024-10-20 0.001270 0.001393 0.001525 0.001676 0.001846 0.002031 0.002247
2024-10-27 0.001177 0.001322 0.001482 0.001671 0.001889 0.002134 0.002432
2024-11-03 0.001073 0.001228 0.001403 0.001615 0.001866 0.002155 0.002516
2024-11-10 0.001026 0.001195 0.001389 0.001629 0.001920 0.002265 0.002706
2024-11-17 0.000970 0.001147 0.001353 0.001614 0.001936 0.002326 0.002836
2024-11-24 0.000937 0.001123 0.001344 0.001628 0.001987 0.002429 0.003020
2024-12-01 0.000887 0.001075 0.001303 0.001600 0.001980 0.002458 0.003110
2024-12-08 0.000848 0.001040 0.001274 0.001585 0.001990 0.002506 0.003225
2024-12-15 0.000814 0.001009 0.001250 0.001574 0.002002 0.002556 0.003343
2024-12-22 0.000788 0.000987 0.001235 0.001573 0.002027 0.002624 0.003485
2024-12-29 0.000759 0.000959 0.001212 0.001560 0.002034 0.002666 0.003594
2025-01-05 0.000734 0.000937 0.001197 0.001560 0.002063 0.002747 0.003768
2025-01-12 0.000697 0.000899 0.001160 0.001529 0.002048 0.002764 0.003853
2025-01-19 0.000673 0.000876 0.001143 0.001525 0.002068 0.002832 0.004015
2025-01-26 0.000635 0.000832 0.001095 0.001475 0.002022 0.002801 0.004028
2025-02-02 0.000621 0.000822 0.001092 0.001487 0.002066 0.002903 0.004245
2025-02-09 0.000599 0.000799 0.001071 0.001474 0.002070 0.002945 0.004372
2025-02-16 0.000587 0.000790 0.001069 0.001487 0.002114 0.003049 0.004601
2025-02-23 0.000564 0.000764 0.001041 0.001461 0.002099 0.003060 0.004681
2025-03-02 0.000545 0.000745 0.001023 0.001448 0.002101 0.003099 0.004807
2025-03-09 0.000529 0.000728 0.001007 0.001438 0.002107 0.003144 0.004945
2025-03-16 0.000517 0.000715 0.000997 0.001437 0.002128 0.003213 0.005125